The Great Baby Bust of 2017

“I am worried about fertility in 2017.

I find many people have this sanguine confidence that it will all work itself out. I disagree strongly with this view, and I want to use the most up-to-date fertility data available to explain precisely why.

I am very concerned about fertility in 2018. I am scared of what fertility numbers will be in 2019, especially if a recession hits somewhere in that period.

Our fertility decline is on par with serious, durable fertility declines in other big, developed countries, and may be extremely difficult to reverse.

There is no happy ending to this post.”

-Lymon Stone, The Great Baby Bust of 2017.

To read more from In a State of Migration, click here.

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